Who will win the 2025 F1 world title? Our writers have their say

As the 2025 Formula 1 season approaches its climax, a riveting championship contest has emerged, with only five races remaining. The race for the drivers' world title is fiercely contested, featuring three prominent contenders: Oscar Piastri, Lando Norris, and Max Verstappen, separated by a mere 40 points. This intense battle has prompted motorsports experts to offer their insights into who might ultimately claim the coveted title, analyzing each driver's recent performances and their teams' strategic positions. The high stakes and unpredictable nature of the remaining races promise an exhilarating conclusion to the season.
The Fierce Battle for the 2025 F1 Title: Driver Analysis and Predictions
The 2025 Formula 1 season is hurtling towards a dramatic conclusion, with the championship title hanging in the balance. Three drivers – Oscar Piastri, Lando Norris, and Max Verstappen – are locked in a tight contest, setting the stage for an electrifying final five rounds. Motorsport specialists are actively debating the potential winner, dissecting each competitor's form, team dynamics, and the unique challenges presented by the upcoming circuits.
Oleg Karpov, a noted F1 analyst, champions Lando Norris's prospects. Despite past criticisms regarding missed opportunities, Norris has recently demonstrated remarkable composure and strategic acumen, particularly since the Dutch Grand Prix. Karpov highlights Norris's prudent risk management in challenging situations, such as the Baku race and his impressive performance in Austin, where he maximized his car's potential despite cautious team strategy. Currently, Norris trails championship leader Piastri by just 14 points. Karpov suggests that Norris’s recent return to peak performance, coupled with Piastri's slight dip in form, positions him favorably for the final races, especially on tracks where McLaren is expected to excel.
Filip Cleeren presents a compelling case for Max Verstappen, emphasizing the importance of experience in high-pressure title fights. While acknowledging the fluctuating nature of "momentum" in Formula 1, Cleeren points to Verstappen's extensive experience, including a previous championship battle that went down to the wire in 2021. He contrasts this with Piastri, who is still in his third season, and Norris, who, despite his experience, has yet to secure a world championship. Cleeren believes that Red Bull and Verstappen's proven ability to perform across various circuit types gives them a significant edge. He predicts Verstappen could secure at least three victories in the remaining races, capitalizing on the internal rivalry between the McLaren drivers, who might inadvertently take points away from each other.
Owen Bellwood, however, maintains that the destiny of the championship still rests firmly in Oscar Piastri's hands. Despite Max Verstappen and Red Bull's recent resurgence, including three wins in four races, Bellwood argues against the likelihood of McLaren's struggles persisting. He believes that the 'papaya' team has the capability to regain its stride and for Piastri to rediscover his formidable demeanor. With Piastri currently holding a 14-point lead over Norris and a 40-point advantage over Verstappen, Bellwood suggests that McLaren's primary challenge is to manage the growing tension between its two drivers effectively and prevent them from hindering each other's title aspirations. If McLaren can mitigate internal conflicts and eliminate errors, Piastri is well-positioned to clinch both the drivers' and constructors' titles.
Finally, Jake Boxall-Legge reinforces the argument for Max Verstappen, asserting that the Dutchman will secure the title unless McLaren can deliver an extraordinary performance in the final stages. He notes that while McLaren has enjoyed a car advantage on most circuits this year, their strategy of allowing drivers to race has sometimes led to lost points. Boxall-Legge believes McLaren must now consider consolidating their efforts behind a single driver, rather than relying solely on mathematical outcomes. He credits Red Bull's recent performance surge to a new floor upgrade implemented since Monza, which has significantly improved the RB21's consistency and effectiveness. Verstappen's exceptional ability to extract maximum performance from his car, combined with Piastri's recent underwhelming weekends, suggests that Red Bull has not just found a "statistical cluster" but a genuine game-changer. The critical question for F1 enthusiasts, according to Boxall-Legge, is not whether Verstappen can win, but how McLaren can prevent it.
The current Formula 1 season stands as a testament to the unpredictable and thrilling nature of motorsport. The differing perspectives offered by these experts highlight the intricate factors at play: driver experience, team strategy, car development, and the psychological pressures of a championship fight. Each analyst presents a plausible scenario, underscoring the high level of competition and the fine margins that will ultimately decide the 2025 F1 world champion. As the remaining races unfold, every turn and decision will be scrutinized, making this one of the most compelling conclusions to a season in recent memory.