US Wind Power Poised for Significant Rebound with 7.7 GW Forecasted Growth

Following a subdued initial period, the United States' wind energy sector is on track for a strong resurgence, anticipating a total of 7.7 gigawatts in new capacity installations this year. A report from Wood Mackenzie and the American Clean Power Association (ACP) indicated a 60% decline in new wind capacity during the second quarter of 2025 compared to the previous year, with only 593 megawatts installed. However, the industry is projected to experience a significant rebound, with over half of the year's forecasted capacity expected to come online in the final quarter.
The onshore wind development faces both opportunities and challenges. The market outlook for onshore wind saw a 3.6% increase quarter-over-quarter as developers accelerate project completion to capitalize on expiring federal tax credits. Experts note that many projects are construction-ready with necessary permits and turbine orders in place. Nevertheless, the industry faces long-term uncertainties due to ongoing tariff investigations, which could impact a significant portion of the wind turbine supply chain and increase project costs, potentially delaying developments beyond 2027. Additionally, the offshore wind sector, despite regulatory hurdles and stop-work orders, is expected to add 5.9 GW by 2029, with most of this capacity already under construction and slated for completion in 2026 and 2027. Western states are poised to lead onshore wind activity through 2029, followed by the Midwest, with Illinois projected to surpass Texas in new onshore capacity by 2027.
Looking ahead, the next few years are critical for the US wind industry, with 2027 anticipated to be a landmark year for new installations. Wood Mackenzie forecasts an average annual installation of 9.1 GW over the next five years, encompassing onshore, offshore, and repowering projects. By the close of 2029, the total installed wind capacity is projected to reach 196.5 GW. This substantial growth is expected despite political headwinds and anti-wind rhetoric, demonstrating the sector's resilience and its continued significant presence in the energy market, even as solar and energy storage lead overall interconnection activity.
The journey of the wind energy sector, marked by periods of sluggishness and rapid acceleration, underscores the dynamic interplay between innovation, policy, and market forces. It serves as a powerful reminder that even in the face of adversity, commitment to sustainable energy solutions can drive remarkable progress. The projected rebound not only signifies economic growth but also reinforces the collective human endeavor towards a greener future, proving that challenges can be overcome through strategic planning and persistent effort, ultimately powering a more sustainable world for generations to come.