The Showdown at Saratoga: A Closer Look at Belmont Stakes Favorites and Contenders

This Saturday, the prestigious Belmont Stakes takes place at 7:04 p.m. ET in Saratoga Springs, New York. Traditionally held at Belmont Park in Elmont, this year's race shifts venues due to track renovations. The eight-horse lineup features Kentucky Derby victor Sovereignty and Preakness winner Journalism as top contenders. Industry expert Jared DeRossett provides insights into these favorites and other horses worth watching.
DeRossett highlights Journalism and Sovereignty as prime competitors with odds reflecting their strong performances in earlier races. While Journalism aims to recover from a challenging Preakness journey, Sovereignty enters well-rested. Additionally, DeRossett notes Rodriguez and Crudo as intriguing contenders for exotic bets, emphasizing Crudo’s impressive class jump and Rodriguez's potential lead battle dynamics. Advance wagering has seen Baeza gain early attention, though this may shift closer to race day.
Rivalry Renewed: Journalism vs. Sovereignty
At the heart of this year's Belmont Stakes lies an anticipated rematch between Journalism and Sovereignty. With respective morning line odds of 8-5 and 2-1, these two champions promise an intense showdown. Journalism, while recovering from a troubled Preakness run, is expected to avoid similar difficulties this time around. Meanwhile, Sovereignty brings renewed energy after ample rest, setting the stage for a thrilling contest.
Jared DeRossett anticipates that Journalism and Sovereignty will dominate pre-race betting discussions, with odds likely hovering near their initial values. Journalism’s previous performance suggests it might not trail as far back as during the Derby, potentially positioning itself better against Sovereignty. On the other hand, Sovereignty’s readiness for this clash could tip the scales slightly in its favor. As both horses vie for supremacy, fans eagerly await how these rivals measure up under Saratoga’s unique conditions.
Contenders Beyond the Favorites
Beyond Journalism and Sovereignty, several horses merit close observation. According to DeRossett, Rodriguez and Crudo stand out among potential dark horses. Crudo showcases remarkable progress following a decisive victory at Pimlico, indicating readiness for elevated competition. Similarly, Rodriguez's anticipated leadership role adds intrigue to the race dynamics, reminiscent of Gosger's strategic approach in the Preakness.
Further enhancing the field’s complexity, Baeza draws unexpected early interest despite being listed at 2-1. This surprising development reflects his solid third-place finish in the Derby and possible improvement in his second East Coast appearance. DeRossett emphasizes that while Journalism and Sovereignty anchor key betting strategies, incorporating Rodriguez, Crudo, or even Baeza into exotic wagers might yield significant rewards. As race day approaches, evolving odds will shape final betting decisions, ensuring excitement until the starting gate opens.