Elon Musk's support for right-wing ideologies has sent shockwaves through Tesla's customer base. After endorsing Germany’s Alternative für Deutschland (AfD) party, calling it the country’s “only hope,” Tesla faced immediate repercussions. Registrations for Tesla's electric vehicles in Germany plummeted by 76% last month, while overall electric vehicle registrations surged by 31%. This stark contrast highlights the growing disconnect between Musk's political views and the liberal aspirations of many Tesla customers.
The backlash extends beyond Germany. In Milan, Extinction Rebellion activists occupied a Tesla store, chaining themselves to cars and plastering slogans like “Make millionaires pay again” on windows. These actions underscore the mounting tension between Tesla's eco-friendly image and Musk's increasingly polarizing stance. Analysts now openly question if Musk's political involvements are causing irreversible damage to a brand synonymous with electric mobility and climate action.
Tesla's sales performance reflects the broader impact of Musk's political choices. The company experienced its first sales decline since 2011, dropping to 1.79 million units in 2024. Despite forecasts predicting a modest recovery in 2025, these numbers fall short of Musk's earlier projections of 20-30% annual growth. Customer retention has become a critical concern, with some analysts suggesting that potential buyers are actively seeking alternatives to Tesla.
In the United States, Tesla's largest market, Strategic Vision's research reveals a significant shift in buyer sentiment. Before Musk acquired Twitter (now X) in 2022, 22% of new vehicle buyers would have "definitely" considered a Tesla. By the end of 2024, this figure had dropped to just under 8%, while the proportion of buyers who wouldn't consider Tesla rose from 39% to 63%. Democrats, traditionally a key demographic for electric vehicles, are now opting for other brands, reflecting a broader rejection of Musk's influence.
Tesla's valuation remains robust at approximately $847 billion, surpassing the combined value of the next ten carmakers. However, several investment banks express concerns about the company's current valuation. JP Morgan, one of the most pessimistic, suggests that Tesla’s share price could fall as low as $135, or a valuation closer to $400 billion. The bank argues that Tesla shares have become detached from fundamental metrics, with profit expectations down 70% since 2022.
Despite these warnings, there are glimmers of hope. In the UK, Tesla sales rebounded by 20% in February after a January dip, indicating potential resilience among die-hard enthusiasts. Similarly, preliminary data from the US shows a 14% year-on-year increase in February sales. Yet, these positive signs are tempered by concerns that Tesla's lead in the electric vehicle market is narrowing as competitors introduce more affordable models. For instance, BYD, a Chinese manufacturer, has emerged as a formidable rival, particularly in Tesla's second-largest market.
Musk's ambitious plans for Tesla include developing a cheaper vehicle priced under $35,000 and dominating the autonomous vehicle market. While these initiatives could bolster Tesla's position, they also introduce new risks. Analysts at UBS caution that Tesla's efforts to monetize self-driving cars and humanoid robots remain speculative. Edward Niedermeyer, author of "Ludicrous," contends that Tesla may have reached its peak, with future growth prospects uncertain.
The looming question for investors is whether Musk's leadership has set Tesla on a path toward sustained success or a precipitous decline. As global protests intensify and sales trends fluctuate, the coming months will be crucial in determining Tesla's trajectory. For now, the company stands at a crossroads, balancing Musk's vision with the evolving preferences of its customer base.
The once revered electric vehicle manufacturer, Tesla, is experiencing a significant downturn due to the controversial political actions of its CEO, Elon Musk. Previously seen as a symbol of forward-thinking and environmental consciousness, Tesla vehicles are now being shunned by many eco-conscious consumers who disapprove of Musk's alignment with far-right politics. The company's flagship products, including the unconventional Cybertruck, have faced widespread ridicule and declining sales. This shift has led to a surge in trade-ins and a growing backlash against the brand, raising concerns about Tesla's future stability.
Musk's increasing involvement in Washington and his association with President Trump have significantly impacted Tesla's reputation. Once celebrated for his innovative vision, Musk now finds himself at the center of controversy, particularly after incidents that included an alleged Nazi salute during an inauguration event. These actions have not only alienated liberal customers but also sparked vandalism and protests targeting Tesla vehicles and facilities. The situation has escalated to the point where some owners are actively seeking ways to distance themselves from the brand, fearing both social stigma and potential financial losses.
Furthermore, the automotive industry has noticed Tesla's declining market share. Competitors, especially in China, have made strides in driver-assistance technology, outpacing Tesla's advancements. The company's core business has suffered, with sales dropping by 1.1 percent in 2024—the first decline since 2011. Despite incentives like discounted leases and free charging, Tesla's inventory continues to grow, visible even from space. The Cybertruck, launched amid much fanfare, has been met with mockery and multiple recalls, further tarnishing the brand's image.
As the backlash intensifies, Tesla faces challenges on multiple fronts. A burgeoning movement called Tesla Takedown aims to weaken Musk's influence by encouraging people to sell their Teslas and divest from the company's stock. Organized protests have spread globally, drawing thousands of participants. Activists believe this approach can force a shareholder vote of no-confidence in Musk, potentially leading to his removal from the company. The movement highlights Musk's controversial role in government and seeks to educate the public about his actions.
In this challenging environment, Tesla's prospects appear uncertain. Musk's ambitious predictions for the company's future, including fully autonomous vehicles and humanoid robots, seem increasingly distant. The market realities and growing public opposition suggest that Tesla may struggle to regain its former prominence. As Musk continues to navigate the tumultuous waters of politics and business, the company's resilience will be tested like never before.