Retail

The Impact of Inaccurate Weather Forecasts on Small Businesses

Weather applications, despite modern meteorological science, frequently oversimplify their forecasts, which results in substantial economic difficulties for many small enterprises. Maya Haddad Miller, co-owner of Brooklyn Beach Shop in Coney Island, New York, observes that a simple rain icon on a weather app can halve her daily sales, regardless of whether any actual rain falls. She even maintained a spreadsheet to track these discrepancies and once raised the issue with then-Lieutenant Governor Kathy Hochul, emphasizing the broad impact of inaccurate forecasts on state businesses and tax contributions.

The problem stems not from the meteorological science itself, which is more advanced than ever, but from how this complex information is translated into simple app icons. Daniel Swain, a climate scientist at UCLA, points out that these apps often rely on single data sources, ignoring the vast amounts of data and models that human meteorologists blend for accuracy. Jason Furtado, a meteorology professor, notes that weather is highly localized, and generic apps often fail to capture specific, rapidly changing conditions, leading users to make decisions based on incomplete or misleading information. This oversimplification leads to a “wet bias,” where apps overstate the likelihood of precipitation, managing user expectations but frustrating small businesses.

This lack of nuance in weather forecasts significantly harms local economies, especially those reliant on good weather or seasonal tourism. Rob Bryn, a musician and bartender in Rockaway Beach, New York, explains that families now cancel trips based on a rain cloud icon, even if the rain is brief or limited to late hours. Steven Cohen of the Brooklyn Cyclones baseball team faces similar issues, with fans deterred by long-range forecasts. This phenomenon creates operational challenges for businesses, forcing them to adjust staffing and manage cancellations based on perceived, rather than actual, weather conditions. The economic consequences are not limited to the US, with British attractions also reporting significant revenue losses due to misleading app forecasts.

The core challenge lies in balancing user convenience with the need for detailed, accurate information. AccuWeather's Dan DePowdin highlights the struggle to provide comprehensive data in a simple, digestible format within a 30-second user interaction. Eric Floehr of ForecastWatch warns that the quality of weather apps varies greatly, with many relying on inexpensive, less reliable data sources. Meteorologists advise users to view standard apps as a preliminary check and seek more detailed forecasts from local experts or the National Weather Service, emphasizing that human expertise remains crucial for interpreting complex weather probabilities and uncertainties. This approach helps mitigate the negative economic effects of oversimplified app predictions, fostering greater resilience for weather-dependent businesses and encouraging a more informed public.

Citadel and Citadel Securities: Pathways to Success for Early Career Professionals

This feature delves into the career trajectories of five accomplished professionals who embarked on their journeys at Citadel and Citadel Securities directly from academic settings or through internship programs. Their collective experiences offer a valuable blueprint for aspiring finance professionals, illustrating how dedication, strategic thinking, and a proactive approach can lead to significant career progression within these leading financial firms. The narratives underscore the importance of seizing opportunities, embracing challenges, and fostering a mindset of continuous improvement to thrive in a demanding yet rewarding environment.

For those seeking entry into the highly competitive world of firms like Citadel and Citadel Securities, securing an internship is a critical first step, with only a tiny fraction of applicants typically gaining acceptance. Beyond merely landing a spot, the real challenge lies in converting that internship into a full-time offer and subsequently distinguishing oneself among a pool of exceptionally talented individuals. The companies' philosophy actively supports nurturing young talent, recognizing its long-term strategic value. Historically, campus hires at these firms have demonstrated a higher propensity for becoming top performers in annual reviews, a testament to the success of their recruiting and development programs. Notable figures, such as Citadel Securities CEO Peng Zhao and Citadel COO Gerald Beeson, exemplify this pathway, having joined the firms early in their professional lives.

Haris Nair, currently a team lead managing a global engineering team at Citadel Securities, began his tenure as a software engineering intern on the commodities trading desk in 2017. He vividly recalls being profoundly impressed by the tangible impact of his work early on. Nair's progression from an intern to a leadership position highlights the value of focusing on projects with significant business impact. He advises newcomers to embrace the firm's flat organizational structure, encouraging them to identify and address substantial problems rather than concentrating solely on minor adjustments. Nair emphasizes that while technical brilliance and diligence are prerequisites, the true differentiator lies in one's initiative to discover and capitalize on opportunities to enhance the platform.

Tanya Otsetarova, now a trader on the semi-systematic options team at Citadel Securities in Miami, joined as an intern in 2022. Having learned about the firm through international math competitions, she initially found the environment daunting, feeling surrounded by colleagues who seemed inherently more knowledgeable. Her key takeaway from her early experience was the critical importance of asking questions, especially when navigating unfamiliar territory. Otsetarova's project, which led to a revised strategy for options pricing, demonstrated her technical prowess. However, she attributes her return offer and subsequent success to her strong problem-solving abilities and genuine curiosity about all facets of the business. As a desk manager for interns, she observes that those who show initiative are the ones who truly excel.

Jonas Metzger, who joined Citadel as a quantitative researcher in spring 2025 after completing his PhD and postdoc at Stanford, initially had limited exposure to financial markets. He learned early on the importance of asking fundamental questions, despite the pressure to appear knowledgeable among highly intelligent peers. Metzger quickly realized that over-focusing on minor aspects of problems was counterproductive. Instead, he found success by developing conviction in his ideas and pursuing them, even if they diverged from conventional thinking. He highlights that having Citadel back his insights with capital is one of the most compelling aspects of his role, emphasizing the firm's rewarding environment for those who can generate significant impact.

Lukas Fischer, a quantitative researcher at Citadel, started his career there in 2024 after earning a PhD in finance from Columbia. He quickly integrated into the fast-paced environment, even meeting directly with Ken Griffin early in his tenure due to the high priority of his initial project. Fischer's experience taught him the importance of pragmatism over perfectionism, recognizing that the market often provides the most accurate feedback on the efficacy of ideas. He now dedicates part of his time to mentoring new hires and recruiting, emphasizing that while most candidates possess the necessary skills, success hinges on identifying and leveraging one's unique passions and strengths. His journey illustrates that innovative thinking can emerge from unexpected moments, even outside traditional office hours.

Kirk Willens, a quantitative research team leader at Citadel Securities, chose the firm for its promise of a steep learning curve, a trajectory he found only intensified over seven years. Starting as a software engineering intern in 2018, he transitioned to a full-time role and later into quantitative research, now overseeing a team of eight. Willens advocates for proactively seeking out challenging problems and taking ownership of solutions, believing that those who are bold enough to raise their hands and ask probing questions are the ones who advance most rapidly. He values team members who can discern critical issues and inspire new ideas, noting how the current generation of interns impressively pushes the boundaries of AI application, constantly offering new perspectives and approaches.

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From Intern to Full-Time: Strategies for Securing a Job at Tinder

This article explores the journeys of three individuals who successfully transformed their internships at Tinder into full-time employment. It highlights their unique approaches, from leveraging a deep understanding of the product as a user to proactively identifying company needs and advocating for new roles. These stories provide valuable lessons for aspiring professionals seeking to secure permanent positions within highly competitive organizations.

Unlock Your Dream Job: Insider Strategies from Tinder's Top Talent

Becoming Indispensable: Ryan Stewart's Innovative Approach to Brand Management

Ryan Stewart, now a brand marketing manager at Tinder, started as a design intern in London in 2021. His extensive knowledge of Tinder as a user was a significant asset during his interview process. Operating from a smaller European team provided Stewart with increased visibility and opportunities to forge connections across various departments. He actively sought out new information, offered assistance where needed, and engaged with colleagues from different teams.

Proactive Engagement and Role Creation: Paving a Path to Permanent Employment

Stewart consistently shared his insights with leadership and scheduled one-on-one meetings with senior directors to gain a deeper understanding of the business operations. Despite initial apprehension, his inquisitive nature was well-received. As his internship drew to a close, Stewart took the initiative to propose a new role, identifying gaps within the company that aligned with his skills and observations. He adopted a "nothing to lose" mentality, which ultimately led to the creation of his current full-time position.

Eric Brandon Kam: Blending User Perspective with Engineering Excellence

Eric Brandon Kam, currently a backend software engineer at Tinder, discovered the company's internship program in 2020 shortly after becoming a user himself. His cover letter, which humorously mentioned a Tinder date, helped him distinguish himself in a highly competitive applicant pool for engineering internships. Kam emphasized his firsthand experience as a Tinder user, showcasing his understanding of the product from a customer's viewpoint.

Cultivating Curiosity and Communication in a Remote Environment

During his internship, Kam applied multidisciplinary engineering principles acquired from Stanford. He noted Tinder's emphasis on strong ownership among engineers. Rather than merely fulfilling tasks, he offered his unique perspective on optimizing project engineering to balance both user outcomes and long-term code health. Kam also prioritized maintaining curiosity and consistent communication, connecting with colleagues and learning about their diverse roles, which he found particularly crucial during his remote internship.

Taylor Wong: Leveraging a Gen Z Voice in Product Marketing

Taylor Wong, a product marketing manager at Tinder, began her journey as a marketing intern in 2022 after learning about the opportunity through a connection. She extended her internship three times and continued working part-time through college before receiving a full-time offer during her senior year. Wong's unique advantage lay in being part of Tinder's primary demographic.

Empowering the Youth Perspective: From Intern to Valued Contributor

Given Tinder's focus on Gen Z users, Wong's colleagues frequently sought her insights. Initially hesitant to speak up in meetings with more experienced professionals, she gained confidence as she realized her team genuinely valued her perspective. Wong advises other interns to embrace their "superpower" of being a Gen Z representative, as their opinions are highly sought after within companies targeting this demographic.

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